TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes53c112,109$59,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,600.769649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No47c27,758$13,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,711.672650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c13,360$6,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,174.151,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c9,682$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.468845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No46c8,414$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,543.517949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No47c8,219$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c7,828$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.221,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a44…9cc6backed No47c7,399$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c7,344$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.283,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes51c6,644$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.7653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes7c5,410$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.0626345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No48c2,952$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.7211854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No47c2,800$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No48c2,493$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.6417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No46c2,413$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c2,064$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.9697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.971631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No47c1,978$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.145056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes8c1,498$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.866222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c1,236$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c1,041$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.011,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c1,013$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes34c1,002$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes50c862.86$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes13c850.05$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No47c764.88$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.394949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes3c714$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes8c605.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3313518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c587.49$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3719560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No50c548$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.182536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No47c517.43$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.827037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Yes17c452.14$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.011154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No57c415.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8819960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c357.5$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No77c336.74$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes30c318$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No48c315.2$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No47c313.55$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No46c308.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes21c278.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes53c276.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.743432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No52c268.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.093855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Yes54c251.5$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c240.89$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes49c237.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.333844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No49c236.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2320249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No47c229.41$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3723858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Yes47c226.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6410853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c218.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No48c197$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.514660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.634247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes52c186.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes43c175.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No47c166.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No46c149.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4710755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes48c149.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.968065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No66c140.1$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6420535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes51c138.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1910757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes25c137.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c136.44$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.319268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c117.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.271,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No56c102.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5314459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes22c99.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No68c95.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1910249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a94…8860backed No49c93.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No47c91.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No47c85.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.165851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c81.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.611563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No51c78.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No48c78.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes13c77.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.86065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes55c68.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No47c68.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7419255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce3…1a0dbacked No52c68.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes28c68.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.995928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No45c66.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.848760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes48c61.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No48c59.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.