Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a175d54d15567bc3524f45bbba2aca6a08a4f42b96e083717dbbc79ab59d2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 58c | 4,959$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 80c | 3,379$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 3,242$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.31 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 35c | 2,204$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 23c | 1,963$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.96 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked No | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 8c | 1,929$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 50c | 1,885$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 1,693$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 1,565$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,406$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.56 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 41c | 1,253$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 1,187$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 77c | 977.82$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.55 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 954.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.58 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 59c | 901.38$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.01 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 70c | 793.32$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 773.86$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.66 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 74c | 772.89$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 70c | 756.89$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 54c | 663.68$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 660.58$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 23c | 547.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 70c | 515.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 444.77$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 26c | 420.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 74c | 396.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 391.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 79c | 385.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed No | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 180.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 74c | 174.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked No | 28c | 155.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 25c | 146.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 54c | 135.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 135.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 27c | 133.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 45c | 127.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Yes | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 53c | 123.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 120.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 76c | 102$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 29c | 101.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 98.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 92.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 86.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 44c | 75.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 33c | 63.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 62.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 65c | 58.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 35c | 58.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 20c | 56.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 66c | 54.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 20c | 52.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 73c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 29c | 46.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 23c | 44.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 72c | 33.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 33.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 61c | 32.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 40c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 77c | 31.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 52c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Yes | 68c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 24.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 41c | 24.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 74c | 21.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 60c | 19.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.