South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b23a2d52a1dbe48299b8d5931a8055b30f3e657f9ad4da6fae93dbea6029ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.15 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 5,652$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,213$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 31c | 803.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.62 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 548.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 56c | 389$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 334.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 73c | 279.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 268.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 60c | 251.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 172.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 144.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Over | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 76c | 65.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 65.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Over | 76c | 65.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Over | 56c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 40.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 47c | 36.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 56c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 50c | 23.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.