South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee9eef7877082982fd7ff03aceb4e15dfada4bc4874bf75773ec84c78570daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 7,417$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.98 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 7,093$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 553.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 78c | 509.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 29c | 389$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 41c | 299$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 37c | 271.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 258.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 238.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 212.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 194.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 184.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 80c | 141.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 61c | 116.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…316cbacked Under | 29c | 111.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 109.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 108.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 95.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 68c | 73.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 74c | 73.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 39c | 65.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 24c | 58.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 44c | 56.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 63c | 53.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 61c | 51.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 64c | 48.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 46.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 61c | 45.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 29.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 28.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 61c | 27.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 24.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.