Us Politics · resolved market
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611fc96ee08dee46775577c9e57febbf10df68f32facfeb25163ed03138db2f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 35c | 8,140$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.02 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 1c | 3,322$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 3,246$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 77c | 2,840$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,532$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 14c | 2,359$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 36c | 1,875$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,731$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,359$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 67c | 1,340$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 72c | 1,302$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 60c | 1,300$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 63c | 1,238$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.73 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…f352backed Yes | 60c | 1,197$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 1,167$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…39c4backed No | 45c | 1,150$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 6c | 1,032$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 15c | 986.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.51 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 969.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 882.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 844.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 34c | 798.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.23 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 694.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 2c | 690.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 672.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 670.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 13c | 599.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 49c | 575.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed Yes | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked No | 33c | 499.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 55c | 444.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 440.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 62c | 402.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 389.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 14c | 379.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…1c87backed No | 35c | 364.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 347.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 347.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…3365backed No | 33c | 337.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…8eeebacked Yes | 71c | 282.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 44c | 274.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 268.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.78 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 260.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…5100backed No | 39c | 256.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +742.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9672…4289backed Yes | 10c | 232.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a93…5574backed No | 64c | 232.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…7f7bbacked Yes | 71c | 208.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…51acbacked No | 42c | 207.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…643fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7581backed No | 51c | 196.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…1f12backed No | 32c | 174.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9b…2c2fbacked No | 34c | 174.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked Yes | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 31c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 147.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 63c | 127.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 126.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…4f0bbacked No | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…4fa5backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5875…89c6backed Yes | 17c | 118.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…0b1abacked No | 30c | 117.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 65c | 115.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed Yes | 32c | 114.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 37c | 105.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…be6bbacked Yes | 17c | 105.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 60c | 104.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…d490backed No | 59c | 101.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 40c | 100.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…2937backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…2d55backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…5ee4backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…b26bbacked Yes | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 45c | 99.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -9.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 48c | 83.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…cc25backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 40c | 79.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…7b41backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…4bacbacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…90d2backed Yes | 79c | 61.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 69c | 60.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…7518backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…d157backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked No | 54c | 59.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 36c | 58.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…0d2bbacked No | 36c | 55.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 59c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…f6e2backed Yes | 53c | 54.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…91e6backed No | 76c | 52.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…2f64backed No | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 42c | 44.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…5dd4backed Yes | 66c | 41.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.