Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85fe716221b042cf30a5197f5b76f78537baea59a929269c34aed646cdb0b262

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $663,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $279,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	45,548$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	8c	12,126$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	11,448$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.8	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	11,007$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.38	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	10,872$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.26	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	10,141$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	8,000$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.08	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	7,736$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	6,600$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5043…979ebacked Yes	0c	6,195$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	8c	5,888$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.27	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	4,876$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.82	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	0c	4,800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	4,462$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	11c	4,007$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.53	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	4,000$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.54	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	6c	3,836$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.6	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	3,781$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.26	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	7c	3,756$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.17	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	10c	3,483$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd71…2b92backed Yes	0c	3,455$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	4c	3,353$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.65	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	6c	3,320$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.53	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	4c	3,217$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.63	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	3c	3,112$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	2,999$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.76	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	2,879$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.38	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	7c	2,832$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.7	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	1c	2,788$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	2,669$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.9	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,500$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.39	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	2,457$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.9	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	7c	2,427$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	2,262$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91af…40bdbacked Yes	1c	2,129$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	2,080$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.5	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	4c	2,000$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.98	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	5c	1,807$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.82	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	1,785$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	12c	1,732$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	5c	1,700$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes	4c	1,550$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c7…c3e8backed Yes	10c	1,527$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.54	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,523$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	4c	1,500$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,489$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	1,400$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	11c	1,351$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	8c	1,296$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.67	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	1,210$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.73	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,097$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.8	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,061$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.44	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	9c	1,001$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.25	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	4c	1,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	11c	999.97$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed Yes	10c	994.38$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.44	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…3058backed Yes	12c	970$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.4	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	7c	888.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	849.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	12c	833$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…ba35backed Yes	12c	816.59$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	12c	808.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	13c	798.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc7…7780backed Yes	13c	789.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0923…88c7backed Yes	1c	778.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86e…b3e1backed Yes	14c	732.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	10c	726.03$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x884b…c61bbacked Yes	5c	724.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	7c	700$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	4c	610.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	11c	609.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.9	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	8c	569.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	567.93$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.42	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	6c	559.43$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.23	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	5c	547.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	11c	510$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	12c	505.26$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	11c	499.96$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82a…576abacked Yes	10c	484.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.43	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	11c	446$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77e9…1a46backed Yes	12c	437.29$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.47	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	11c	429.97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.19	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	420$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	9c	419.54$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	12c	417$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event