Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e50a620353a8876e53429ac18f5d9332c0bc2854e043ae385163f9a7364f42

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $385,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,478 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	13,981$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.45	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	0c	12,482$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	0%0 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0923…88c7backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	9,333$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	3c	5,595$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.96	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	5,540$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.37	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes	11c	4,663$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.06	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	3,843$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.29	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	3,667$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	3,488$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.99	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,397$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	2,837$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	2,816$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.13	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	3c	2,626$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.23	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	3c	2,300$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.4	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	1c	2,237$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	2,235$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.02	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…8e19backed Yes	3c	2,077$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	1,850$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.5	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	1c	1,810$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	1,738$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,512$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	2c	1,492$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,348$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.12	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	9c	999.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	999.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	9c	999.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	10c	987.37$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	980.22$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	11c	888.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	6c	850$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	8c	722.61$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	3c	658.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes	3c	616.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	9c	600$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	550$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5034…3f34backed Yes	4c	499.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…0ea8backed Yes	6c	473$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa5…e581backed Yes	10c	415.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.54	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba7…8ca5backed Yes	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…2b01backed Yes	6c	399.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	70	12.9%9 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	11c	393.64$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34d…5461backed Yes	7c	389.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	3c	380$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a56…f4f5backed Yes	4c	367.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	5c	348.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed Yes	10c	341.11$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc239…64a6backed Yes	3c	325$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	104	12.5%13 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…9b1dbacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	10c	293.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.33	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28c1…8cd5backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	11c	239.45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.34	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Yes	10c	220$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac4…1819backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f2…6534backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af9…b599backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b7…af8fbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39b…9ba2backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6a…ebe3backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…1c87backed Yes	10c	116.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c10…8ea5backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d0…c191backed Yes	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…c182backed Yes	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10e8…fdaabacked Yes	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545a…bff5backed Yes	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-66%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…89f5backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed4…c4f2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	24.8%25 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…c812backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67d…5abcbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x058f…e1d3backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2347…5adfbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c3…6da2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c28…9278backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d92…4eb8backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b4…49c2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	8cpaid	+418.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event