Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c2e1b9c81cf7246051c51bd483af5a69c3dc83dc69572ec4315677339917cb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $585,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $391,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,151 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	78,959$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.76	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	0c	12,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	12,138$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	11,855$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.8	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	11,791$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.57	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	8c	10,827$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.61	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	10,100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	10,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes	3c	8,700$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.1	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	8,444$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,104$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.12	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	6,810$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	6,277$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	14c	6,000$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.62	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	0c	5,307$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	1c	5,167$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	5,126$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.91	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	4,593$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	15c	3,733$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.29	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ec…9b89backed Yes	1c	3,672$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	5c	3,600$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.3	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	3,103$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	3,006$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.21	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	3,000$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.55	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	2,767$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.25	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	16c	2,632$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.67	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,525$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…d9e5backed Yes	20c	2,305$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,268$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.67	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe4f6…d00ebacked Yes	4c	2,263$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	14c	2,201$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.79	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	2,172$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.59	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec9…5f0dbacked Yes	1c	2,114$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-91%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	2,010$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.16	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	2,000$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	2c	1,900$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	5c	1,883$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,801$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.18	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0431…fcb4backed Yes	2c	1,750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	1,690$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.08	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,644$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	1,610$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	13c	1,476$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.98	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	79c	1,400$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.99	63	81%51 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	75cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,083$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	5c	1,060$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	10c	1,017$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	1c	1,009$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	13c	974.7$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.16	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	11c	928.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.85	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	13c	767.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	13c	747.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	4c	691.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	679.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.74	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked Yes	8c	673.68$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.89	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	660.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	647.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	18c	645.5$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.93	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	15c	640$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes	14c	637.75$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	17c	599.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	18c	599.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	6c	549.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	8c	509.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Yes	15c	500$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…d511backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	3c	488.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	7c	483$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	464.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	455.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	10c	435.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	12c	416.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	12c	416.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	17c	407.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	16c	400$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	399.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	20c	397.3$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.46	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	10c	395.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	370$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	356.5$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.3	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	330$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	5c	328.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	10c	305.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	289.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47d7…df89backed Yes	13c	270.13$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.12	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	5c	250$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x431e…7c0ebacked Yes	11c	250$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event