Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a23e019dd1a5e08c0f7f9929975f8bc6fdb7996952f4696e3c243fbedb266fb

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $363,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $199,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	12,074$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	11,111$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	10,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	3c	7,937$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.86	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	7,115$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	6,769$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	6,359$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,139$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	8c	5,947$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.05	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	5,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,853$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.41	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f6…d00ebacked Yes	3c	3,130$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	2c	3,040$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.1	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	2,822$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.67	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	2,676$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.79	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	4c	2,600$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.94	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	2,109$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.15	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,986$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,915$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.29	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	1,682$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f8…302dbacked Yes	1c	1,501$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	20c	1,467$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	1,415$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	1,329$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.07	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…964bbacked Yes	3c	1,324$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	1,179$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	80c	1,144$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.92	63	81%51 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	75cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	7c	993.24$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.53	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	977.62$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.64	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	960.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.32	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	1c	940.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	7c	931.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.51	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	11c	912.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	860.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	12c	840$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	4c	794$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	747.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	4c	738.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	5c	699.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	2c	698.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	687.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	680.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	659.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	648.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	13c	644$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.84	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	3c	524.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	8c	510$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	509.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	419.74$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Yes	11c	403.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…5815backed Yes	6c	400$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	12c	364.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	350$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	350$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	15c	317.52$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.57	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	292.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	10c	264.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.94	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa757…2438backed Yes	10c	238.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	20	10%2 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	17c	223.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.03	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	16c	220.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d7…e563backed Yes	18c	208.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	9c	204.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd9…86cabacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf64d…b164backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bc…e100backed Yes	11c	190$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4d…aed9backed Yes	13c	157.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21c…6934backed Yes	20c	151.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951a…6866backed Yes	9c	144.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+97%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…79edbacked Yes	11c	126$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	12c	107.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…992fbacked Yes	11c	106.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…d94bbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…c3a6backed Yes	11c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22f…71f6backed Yes	10c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fe…4d0abacked Yes	10c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x560a…08eebacked Yes	10c	105$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10c4…ac4cbacked Yes	11c	105$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fb…554cbacked Yes	19c	102.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7321…5e5fbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…f9c0backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…c4a8backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event