Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70c713bcfef1c6068c69f52995e1e1fedf6bb4ca8ac005c3f34b3e2f08cd6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 117,076$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.84 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 4c | 13,753$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.27 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…2e0fbacked Yes | 12c | 11,710$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 5,154$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,397$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.73 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…c512backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 3c | 3,680$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…4e83backed Yes | 2c | 3,298$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…87d7backed Yes | 5c | 2,534$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,323$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Yes | 7c | 2,134$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…70eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,070$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 3c | 2,002$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dac…c248backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,527$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…74e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +456.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,252$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 1,234$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 1,004$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 1,002$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…4e45backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 909.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 865.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 3c | 819$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 717.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 705.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 658.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…2c2bbacked Yes | 4c | 650$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 586.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 14c | 492.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…cb67backed Yes | 7c | 480.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 479.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…4cb8backed Yes | 15c | 330.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 298.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 287$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 5c | 275.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed Yes | 10c | 249.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 10c | 246.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…ca9fbacked Yes | 7c | 220.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 7c | 187.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x570e…52f1backed Yes | 6c | 172.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 8c | 171.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 112.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…3b9cbacked Yes | 14c | 73.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…2bbcbacked No | 79c | 45.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…481abacked Yes | 29c | 38.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed No | 79c | 36.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in March?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.