Bundesliga · resolved market
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb368c59cef8287c0822e7d372bf90bdb62d5735af92f0d97f653e14eee54efaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 66c | 17,707$11,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.44 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 40c | 9,570$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.95 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 7,740$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 34c | 3,999$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.76 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 2c | 3,299$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 2,666$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,295$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 1,253$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.31 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 25c | 1,106$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.87 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 1,105$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.95 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 36c | 889$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 60c | 662.79$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 63c | 571.06$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 63c | 562.65$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 61c | 539.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 484.63$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 60c | 481.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 17c | 471.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 470.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 463.01$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 57c | 428.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 423.91$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 405$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Over | 70c | 400$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 395.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 35c | 337.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 333.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 63c | 317.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 65c | 317.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…1933backed Over | 36c | 279.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 66c | 233.51$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 217.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 206.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 39c | 189.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 65c | 167.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 64c | 158.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 63c | 138.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 66c | 137.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 60c | 129.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 59c | 104.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 35c | 102.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 66c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 61c | 91.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 88.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 66c | 87.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 67c | 84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 60c | 80.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 35c | 76.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…c11bbacked Over | 36c | 71.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 61c | 71.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 61c | 69.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 67.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 23c | 64.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 39c | 64.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 33c | 62.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 35c | 59.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 39c | 57.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 36c | 56.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 37c | 55.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 60c | 55.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 37c | 54.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 34c | 40.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 79c | 39.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 38.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 41c | 34.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 62c | 33.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…2bf2backed Over | 37c | 32.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 30.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Under | 66c | 24.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 68c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Under | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5this page
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5Over won
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5Over won
- DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)SV Darmstadt 98 won
- Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-2.5)SV Darmstadt 98 won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)DSC Arminia Bielefeld won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-2.5)DSC Arminia Bielefeld won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.