TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x808d…4689backed Over52c278,536$143,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,577.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under48c151,990$72,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,955.2728350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c52,787$25,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,313.121,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c33,552$16,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,412.165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c16,656$8,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,019.891,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over60c15,921$9,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,302.0651756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c6,568$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.296,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c6,434$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.032,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c5,557$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.816,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under49c5,192$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.4536649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under52c3,424$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.243461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under44c3,336$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45512551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,610$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.015,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,555$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.467250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,508$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.0932348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Under49c1,998$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9916547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.46752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under49c1,949$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.7714340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over52c1,942$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.354852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd658…ecadbacked Over52c1,915$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4662…0c53backed Under58c1,149$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over50c1,055$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.681,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c1,005$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.451,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over51c958.56$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.376253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c954.77$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6267849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c931.12$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45039948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c840.46$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.422445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under50c816.17$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.0457551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c673.77$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.679,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c669.41$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.541,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under52c632.9$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2411547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under24c600.91$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.264731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under39c554.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.291,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c529.59$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.024,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over51c499.92$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9621052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.56150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c453.82$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.741,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over49c423.54$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9219951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Over50c388.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.626762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c375.59$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.116440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over49c370.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4828646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over69c354.42$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.451,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c337.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c313.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2119452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under39c306.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.171,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c295.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.81,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over49c286.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3727751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c286.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.49255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under54c242.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under54c240.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8711245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under53c226.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.987746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Over75c222.27$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.812751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under46c217.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013742.3%58 W · 79 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under53c210.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.126753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over64c209.78$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6413361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd9…4d7fbacked Over47c206.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744153.7%22 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b1…1933backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under38c194.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.262,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1211352.2%59 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Under39c186.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under55c177.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.297354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c159.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5830750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c157.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0225249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over60c151.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0924950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c132.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6521847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under48c123.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5223248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c118.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.322,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c108.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.466647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under55c100.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.938847.7%42 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Under49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under54c90.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.619254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over52c85.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.189151.6%47 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under53c77.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over50c74.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3511649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Under52c74.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over79c70.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.815853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under33c69.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.576437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under52c65.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.953551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c60.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0312761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over46c57.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2414444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over50c57.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.13444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under49c57.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.116446.9%30 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under49c56.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.918649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under49c56.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Under28c54.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466b…bbb3backed Under51c52.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Under21c51.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8160%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under51c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Over50c47.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.818153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under49c44.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c43.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0867653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.