MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x877b0b5e2f9620777f4870d3dee614a08e1dbbd341989a60b39e64cc6e419608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x808d…4689backed Over | 52c | 278,536$143,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,577.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 151,990$72,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,955.27 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 52,787$25,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,313.12 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 33,552$16,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,412.1 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 16,656$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.89 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 60c | 15,921$9,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.06 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 6,568$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.29 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 6,434$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 5,557$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.81 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 49c | 5,192$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.45 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 52c | 3,424$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 44c | 3,336$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,610$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.01 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.4 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,508$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.09 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Under | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.99 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 49c | 1,949$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.77 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…ecadbacked Over | 52c | 1,915$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…0c53backed Under | 58c | 1,149$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 1,055$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.68 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.45 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over | 51c | 958.56$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 954.77$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 931.12$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 840.46$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 50c | 816.17$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.04 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 673.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.67 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 669.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 52c | 632.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 24c | 600.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 39c | 554.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 529.59$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 499.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.96 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 453.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 49c | 423.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 50c | 388.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 375.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 49c | 370.38$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 69c | 354.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 337.42$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 313.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 306.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 295.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 49c | 286.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 53c | 286.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 54c | 242.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 54c | 240.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 53c | 226.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Over | 75c | 222.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 217.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 53c | 210.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 64c | 209.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Over | 47c | 206.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…1933backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 194.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Under | 39c | 186.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 55c | 177.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 159.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 157.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 60c | 151.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 132.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 123.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 118.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 108.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 55c | 100.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 54c | 90.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 52c | 85.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 53c | 77.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 50c | 74.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 52c | 74.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 79c | 70.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 33c | 69.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 52c | 65.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 60.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 46c | 57.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 57.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 49c | 57.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 56.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Under | 49c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Under | 28c | 54.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…bbb3backed Under | 51c | 52.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…b815backed Under | 21c | 51.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 50c | 47.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 44.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 43.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.