MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7baba08335e38636480157ee81aec03d10304ebc7c5f46f5155b9fa8a6fa5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 14,082$8,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,308.42 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 10,167$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,193$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,938$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.8 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,744$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.13 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,465$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,184$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 754.48$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 674.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 589.97$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 558.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 509.29$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 439.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 250.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 224.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 195.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 175.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 153.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 142.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 134.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 111.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 72.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 71.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 69.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 69.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 59.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 51.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 47.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 46.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 46.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 45.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 43.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 38.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 36.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 34.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 34.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 30.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 28.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 17.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.