Tennis · resolved market
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b98fb32c158df0af3a9ae9ad74bff479d96e48b7ecd4863913094f9a6d6ab15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Gustavo Heide, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Carlos Prado | 5c | 6,238$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Heide | 74c | 2,268$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 1,910$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 12c | 1,144$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Carlos Prado | 18c | 1,130$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…d4d5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 17c | 926.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 860.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 857.76$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 10c | 850.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Juan Carlos Prado | 27c | 697.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 488.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Juan Carlos Prado | 18c | 487.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Gustavo Heide | 73c | 471.68$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gustavo Heide | 73c | 432.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gustavo Heide | 76c | 421.6$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Carlos Prado | 22c | 407.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gustavo Heide | 77c | 357.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Juan Carlos Prado | 15c | 302.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 211.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…1732backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 162.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 150.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gustavo Heide | 72c | 146.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 145.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Gustavo Heide | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Gustavo Heide | 71c | 130.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 104 | 74%77 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 129.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 127.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 111.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 17c | 109.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…8db6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 86.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Juan Carlos Prado | 27c | 84.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 17c | 83.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Juan Carlos Prado | 29c | 82.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Gustavo Heide | 74c | 79.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Gustavo Heide | 76c | 77.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Gustavo Heide | 73c | 73.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 68.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 30c | 64.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 24c | 60.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Gustavo Heide | 70c | 56.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 30c | 54.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Gustavo Heide | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…4754backed Gustavo Heide | 72c | 47.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Gustavo Heide | 69c | 43.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…9c8bbacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 43.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Juan Carlos Prado | 29c | 35.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Gustavo Heide | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…a08abacked Gustavo Heide | 75c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Gustavo Heide | 79c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Pradothis page
- Gustavo Heide vs. Juan Carlos Prado: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.