Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6cbaee240ed3fec95334ad07bb73f98a9a1de8113714c0ebfdabb1c3329f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVK Esportsof MVK Esports, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked MVK Esports | 52c | 8,215$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.25 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 2,431$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.67 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 2,356$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.77 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked MVK Esports | 55c | 2,179$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.51 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 2,086$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.02 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 973.86$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 866.63$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.65 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 809.84$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.53 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MVK Esports | 52c | 694.24$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…9909backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 662.43$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 422.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 378.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 236.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed MVK Esports | 56c | 215.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…3910backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 205.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 193.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed MVK Esports | 56c | 173.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 91.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 78.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed MVK Esports | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked MVK Esports | 58c | 50.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…a1cebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 50c | 48.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked MVK Esports | 55c | 35.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MVK Esports | 65c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked MVK Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed MVK Esports | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonMVK Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerMVK Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.