Lol · resolved market
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846b0034ea17c7a75c7a9c35e243e10f4f05e10b248fecb73c624f71512a0744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVK Esportsof DetonatioN FocusMe, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked MVK Esports | 71c | 3,066$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 30c | 1,863$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.77 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 792.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MVK Esports | 57c | 766.41$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 2c | 659.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked MVK Esports | 74c | 434.78$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 27c | 396.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed MVK Esports | 75c | 342.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 25c | 333.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 33c | 269.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MVK Esports | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MVK Esports | 72c | 228.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 64c | 152.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 567 | 44.8%254 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MVK Esports | 60c | 125.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed MVK Esports | 35c | 118.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 31c | 117.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 31c | 85.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MVK Esports | 63c | 78.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed MVK Esports | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 74.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 33c | 65.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed MVK Esports | 70c | 51.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed MVK Esports | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked MVK Esports | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…33d2backed MVK Esports | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed MVK Esports | 54c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)MVK Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonMVK Esports won
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.