TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof GIANTX, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$408,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked GIANTX58c56,505$32,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,709.6655955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Natus Vincere75c32,347$24,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,039.986643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere42c30,061$12,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,530.32,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere42c20,861$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.5611645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed GIANTX60c19,894$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,904.111,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed GIANTX1c17,776$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.423775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed GIANTX55c12,962$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,150.4832440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere42c11,023$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,408.9848149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed GIANTX59c10,248$6,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,037.861,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere44c9,883$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.183,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Natus Vincere43c7,577$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.5627447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere51c7,340$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.7925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere43c6,345$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.3946637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked GIANTX58c6,265$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.7921754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GIANTX59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed GIANTX60c5,856$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,513.615062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56e…2d64backed GIANTX39c5,799$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.417248.6%35 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX40c5,377$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.531,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere42c5,203$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.6759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed GIANTX55c4,990$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.4248440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere41c4,908$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.6682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed GIANTX60c4,420$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.8354756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere58c4,359$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.181,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked GIANTX57c4,279$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.3666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed GIANTX60c4,089$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.3211060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed GIANTX59c3,950$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.611,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed GIANTX55c3,892$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed GIANTX29c3,703$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.9969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GIANTX59c3,491$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.871,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere42c3,213$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GIANTX34c3,126$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.741,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked GIANTX46c2,913$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.9142941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX59c2,811$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.31,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked GIANTX23c2,750$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.1995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere59c2,664$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.5991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed GIANTX59c2,629$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.211,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere45c2,418$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.362,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed GIANTX59c2,400$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41671249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked Natus Vincere45c2,380$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.021850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed GIANTX35c2,327$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.9786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere57c2,071$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.271,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere42c1,973$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.0750749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Natus Vincere44c1,950$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.0850647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere44c1,844$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.412,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed GIANTX59c1,707$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.164553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX21c1,649$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.122,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere57c1,595$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.177358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GIANTX36c1,561$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.61,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere41c1,548$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.5375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere42c1,500$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.6285836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere44c1,500$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere43c1,499$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.0576639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed GIANTX54c1,441$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9224359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GIANTX59c1,430$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.551,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere40c1,382$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.4887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed GIANTX59c1,300$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7671,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed GIANTX60c1,276$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8426062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70052750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere47c1,250$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.51,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere45c1,248$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.873,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere45c1,180$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.811,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed GIANTX53c1,073$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere41c1,009$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5673237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Natus Vincere48c1,008$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9326443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked GIANTX60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked GIANTX45c987.69$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.741,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed GIANTX54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.117032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Natus Vincere49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Natus Vincere60c955.08$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1810350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere55c936.25$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.611,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed Natus Vincere42c919.24$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.162343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Natus Vincere43c846.52$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.9328734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed GIANTX55c839.43$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6863546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere41c771.68$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.291,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere41c754.29$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6756432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked GIANTX55c728.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2415541.9%65 W · 90 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Natus Vincere44c726.02$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.9639447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked GIANTX59c718.86$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.1370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Natus Vincere69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4651348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GIANTX10c699.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere41c699.82$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.891,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere42c689.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8754246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed GIANTX61c640.39$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6438659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX31c634.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.691,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere36c631.6$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5315632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Natus Vincere70c631.29$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3919745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked GIANTX58c629.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3928852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed GIANTX54c629.12$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9332160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed GIANTX26c541.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9817155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed GIANTX8c519.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0623624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Natus Vincere44c512.29$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8824029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Natus Vincere46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…f876backed GIANTX59c488.82$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.415040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked GIANTX56c485.83$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed GIANTX59c482.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9657754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed GIANTX55c462.51$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3821749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Natus Vincere62c445.41$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1626734.5%92 W · 175 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere43c445.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.21,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Natus Vincere63c440.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5641060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GIANTX59c430.93$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.251,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.