MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d92eef84d05674d53654f973cbb9262c96fbd3576e65f7b93633094ce87773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 53,212$27,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,573.97 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 30,834$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800.1 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 10,497$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 6,680$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.6 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 4,010$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 3,255$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,729$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.47 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 915.89$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 40c | 828.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 693.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Over | 56c | 469.41$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 400.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 54c | 360.83$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Under | 49c | 346.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 325.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 57c | 317.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 232.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 49c | 212.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 48c | 212.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 192.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 48c | 183.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 181.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 48c | 136.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 58c | 133.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 49c | 110.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 41c | 93.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 67c | 90.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 73.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Over | 40c | 73.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…81eabacked Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 52c | 54.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 48c | 42.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 48c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Under | 49c | 34.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 59c | 34.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 63c | 32.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Over | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…34bbbacked Under | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 49c | 26.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles AngelsAtlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.