Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611e04200be28ae472fabe10627d818db8a79033daf536f2880481b1b6d63795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 2c | 2,948$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 2,762$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 4,505 | 19.6%882 W · 3,623 L | +47.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 65c | 2,713$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.15 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 5c | 1,302$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 5c | 927.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…214bbacked Yes | 17c | 879.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…1957backed Yes | 11c | 599.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 583.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 575 | 27.8%160 W · 415 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 21c | 521.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,730 | 18%311 W · 1,419 L | +73.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed No | 77c | 487.39$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 5c | 439.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 7c | 400.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 13c | 386.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 35c | 352.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 309.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 14c | 294.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 273.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…a869backed No | 74c | 263.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 261.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2,299 | 17.8%409 W · 1,890 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 19c | 242.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 17c | 242.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 931 | 34%317 W · 614 L | +53.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 236$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6,854 | 39.4%2,698 W · 4,156 L | +266.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 231.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 7c | 224.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 26c | 224.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 217.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 2,265 | 39.6%896 W · 1,369 L | -56.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed Yes | 26c | 216.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 215.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 63c | 203.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 28c | 197.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 185.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 78c | 184.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 175.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 165.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 34c | 162.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 35c | 158.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 155.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 147.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 588 | 24.8%146 W · 442 L | -18.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…de0cbacked Yes | 13c | 140.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 137.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,843 | 27.5%506 W · 1,337 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 22c | 134.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 876 | 47.9%420 W · 456 L | +40.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 35c | 133.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Yes | 20c | 132.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 17c | 127.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 121.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 23c | 119.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 35c | 117.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 27c | 116.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 15c | 110.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 20c | 104.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 29c | 94.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…818abacked Yes | 24c | 89.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 15c | 85.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 73c | 83.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 7,564 | 37.5%2,840 W · 4,724 L | +95.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 37c | 80.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…4f62backed Yes | 25c | 78.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…f897backed No | 66c | 70.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 23c | 68.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 28c | 68.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 24c | 66.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2d82backed No | 65c | 64.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 20c | 63.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 75c | 63.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 19c | 63.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 713 | 33.5%239 W · 474 L | +33.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 66c | 61.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…a04bbacked No | 63c | 61.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…6964backed No | 76c | 56.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 65c | 56.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 22c | 56.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 78c | 51.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 21c | 50.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d87…a068backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 78c | 48.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 370 | 67.6%250 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 72c | 48.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 30c | 47.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…ae19backed Yes | 24c | 46.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa1…a961backed No | 70c | 42.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed No | 80c | 39.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 663 | 27.8%184 W · 479 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 78c | 39.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…32b5backed Yes | 34c | 37.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…03ddbacked Yes | 28c | 36.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 77c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 77c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 793 | 63.4%503 W · 290 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.