Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbaf4f15b38cb723887806a24cf605e68b9c38bb3e1a590bbbbd439d51f2e5ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 14c | 1,093$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 16c | 899.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 12c | 843.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 12c | 754.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 9c | 723.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 13c | 718.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 8c | 651.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 605.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…5464backed Yes | 12c | 563.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 22c | 562.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 19c | 539.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…700cbacked Yes | 4c | 534.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 9c | 527.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…d921backed Yes | 8c | 471.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 450.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 18c | 449.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 362.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 19c | 347.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 15c | 346$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 16c | 339.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 79c | 328.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 14c | 325.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…6abcbacked Yes | 11c | 300.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…d8a6backed Yes | 21c | 280.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 20c | 250.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 245.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Yes | 23c | 245.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…8cb2backed Yes | 26c | 243.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2d82backed Yes | 10c | 242.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 17c | 202.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 7c | 197.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 9c | 196.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…89b4backed Yes | 24c | 190.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…23e8backed Yes | 6c | 190$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…19c2backed Yes | 17c | 188.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 79c | 187.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…4cf3backed Yes | 19c | 174.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…4d78backed Yes | 18c | 163.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…d63ebacked Yes | 17c | 161.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…2c26backed Yes | 17c | 149.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 28c | 140.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 23c | 137.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 20c | 134.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 11c | 134.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 9c | 126.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 21c | 125.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 17c | 124.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…9104backed Yes | 20c | 122.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 16c | 118.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 117.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 14c | 116.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 19c | 116.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…1942backed Yes | 15c | 114.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…03ddbacked Yes | 15c | 109.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 108.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 11c | 102.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…f584backed Yes | 23c | 98.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…a04bbacked Yes | 20c | 97.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…075dbacked Yes | 12c | 96.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 77c | 95.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed Yes | 14c | 92.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed Yes | 21c | 91.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 11c | 91.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…b107backed Yes | 14c | 86.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…727bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 146 | 17.1%25 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 22c | 80.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 79c | 78.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 77.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed Yes | 14c | 74.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 73.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…86c9backed No | 73c | 66.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949f…3bbebacked Yes | 21c | 64.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 77c | 53.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 80c | 51.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…c0bfbacked Yes | 24c | 44.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 77c | 42.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 75c | 35.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Yes | 29c | 35.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 217 | 22.6%49 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…f3f3backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 74c | 29.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 27.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 76c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 79c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed No | 76c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…a56ebacked No | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.