Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b39e32353b926141fff8f917fd96bcf8c0a0cdfcd967ca7305f546971425f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 2,723$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked No | 59c | 1,171$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.75 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 8c | 990.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 51c | 708.42$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 20c | 674.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.54 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 23c | 652.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 2c | 621.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 619.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.13 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 6c | 534.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…6abcbacked No | 6c | 530.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed No | 62c | 496.47$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.63 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 41c | 435.08$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 46c | 429.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked Yes | 70c | 405.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 45c | 318.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 14c | 289.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 40c | 284.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 37c | 269.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 268.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 29c | 265.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 224.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 204.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 16c | 188.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 179.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 28c | 167.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 166.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 17c | 165.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 165.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 23c | 161.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…adf1backed Yes | 71c | 151.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 32c | 147.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 144.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 30c | 141.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 17c | 132.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 70c | 126.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 61c | 120.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 10c | 119.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 110.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 76c | 106.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 106.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…1957backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 78c | 96.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 51c | 96.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 28c | 94.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 12c | 94.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 48c | 87.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 85.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 16c | 80.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 74c | 78.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 46c | 76.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 45c | 75.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 71c | 75.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 40c | 73.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 45c | 73.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…a869backed No | 76c | 73.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…6bc4backed No | 47c | 69.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 45c | 67.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 21c | 67.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 23c | 67.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 61.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…cab2backed Yes | 52c | 59.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 22c | 56.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 19c | 55.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 34c | 51.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…07b9backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…d9c1backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 49.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed No | 62c | 48.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 42c | 47.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 51c | 42.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 36c | 40.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 28c | 39.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…0c97backed Yes | 62c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…d073backed Yes | 67c | 37.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed No | 75c | 36.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 48c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 63c | 33.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 46c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 69c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 74c | 29.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 46c | 26.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 73c | 26.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed No | 74c | 25.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.