South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b65bda795b4331b07085889217eed05520d65a8593d485684ecaebb8c2d2344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e862backed Yes | 21c | 9,430$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…df1dbacked No | 79c | 9,430$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 4,986$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.23 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 2,857$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,497$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 1,500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,246$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 1,148$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 413.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Yes | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 73c | 167.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 134.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 40c | 74.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 61c | 66.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 33c | 63.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…d6f1backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…2335backed Yes | 41c | 34.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 39c | 30.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100e…cc8fbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.