South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80da644d7131fe1f942b1be3920e3ebfe3de0eea84d102cd25191ec34eab09c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 2,576$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,693$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.74 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,652$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 1,255$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 77c | 919.17$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 24c | 712$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…ac01backed Yes | 21c | 583.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 29c | 346.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 17c | 94.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Yes | 28c | 68.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 31c | 63.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 61.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…96dbbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.