South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd224354ea318dbaa2b4a6278dbd5ba48787556d3f91291054d13b34136cf4923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 5,505$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 74c | 5,036$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.31 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 3,856$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 3,657$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.36 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 2,529$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.12 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,485$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 724.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.23 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 74c | 399.39$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 297.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 24c | 273.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 74cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed No | 7c | 149.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 68c | 121.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…5449backed Yes | 78c | 87.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 54c | 73.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed No | 27c | 71.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 41c | 36.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 39c | 32.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 59c | 29.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…e14cbacked No | 74c | 14.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.