South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8fe9af9af54bfc0d9bcf45949ee69a98bd9999d20c3f242f9c2ab203cfe0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 22,662$12,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.99 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 6,334$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 5,280$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.55 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 3,590$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 2,524$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.57 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 44c | 2,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 2,189$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.93 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 2,148$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 1,825$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.38 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,056$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 935.35$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 818.23$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 750.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 40c | 727.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 406.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 55c | 362$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 21c | 337$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 43c | 189.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 44c | 150.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 44c | 148.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 56c | 114.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 52c | 102.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 78.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 56c | 53.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6ed5backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 41c | 41.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 39c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 53c | 30.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will EC Juventude vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.