Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895e71078c720200f4807a23b4866b1196d620c065f2bb80c0adae53f23bb95a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 57c | 18,664$10,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 40c | 8,027$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.82 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 2,772$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.74 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 63c | 2,652$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.68 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,860$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 67c | 1,477$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 929.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 56c | 890.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 39c | 660$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 609$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 485.48$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 477.33$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 383.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 345$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 21c | 305$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 59c | 254.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 60c | 216$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 42c | 202.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…82bfbacked Yes | 11c | 136.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…54acbacked Yes | 58c | 59.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 47.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 64c | 24.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…b9a8backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 56c | 18.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2025-11-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.