Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff510fa81592f6093081293abb21785a3764b398e5be41e3f6a616796e23aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 19,676$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 30c | 3,467$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 55c | 877.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.71 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 13c | 455.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked No | 36c | 275.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 31c | 243.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 10c | 193.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 10c | 166.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed No | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 30c | 44.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…3d35backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.