South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5f38042f36f9f617104bfa155043caf9ca8fb85efda595979dbb8e281687ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 36c | 799.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 757.45$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 443.41$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 435.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 35c | 424.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 68c | 371.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…2d2dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked No | 32c | 314.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes | 67c | 302.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 68c | 300.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 260.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 72c | 194.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 101.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed Yes | 26c | 100.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…d066backed Yes | 78c | 96.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 75c | 76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…d258backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 75c | 68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Yes | 65c | 66.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 39.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2483backed Yes | 70c | 28.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Yes | 69c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…cc40backed No | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.