South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f9ea851cd753a2ba06a10dd29fa8d3e7dbce8a3cfbf47292f1a80d362d1ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 653.96$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 28c | 428$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 274.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…2d2dbacked Yes | 39c | 228.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 76c | 193.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 175.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 29c | 162.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 135.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 124.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…d951backed No | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…c102backed No | 68c | 116.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…d909backed No | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…67a0backed No | 68c | 107.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…018dbacked No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…d066backed Yes | 25c | 88.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 82.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…4ed3backed No | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…d258backed Yes | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 17c | 67.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…d454backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…cc40backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.