South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40ef4efabfad43b2be781a5af080caf05a1c3a3279cde036f75c295b4b4a4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc018…8997backed Yes | 46c | 10,621$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 9,553$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.89 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 6,259$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.06 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 4,408$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,888$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 13c | 965.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 42c | 398$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 309.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 37c | 307.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…d066backed Yes | 8c | 284.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 9c | 222.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 220.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 36c | 215.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 50c | 201.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 58c | 150.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 117$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 89.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…51f3backed Yes | 45c | 50.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…f5f5backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…06f9backed Yes | 35c | 36.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…7592backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 43c | 30.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…cc40backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 55c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.