Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6eff8c591d373f7b3012b0d9c216132f0e3e435245e715ce804e48d06681d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex | 53c | 13,589$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.17 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Yandex | 0c | 11,362$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 9,453$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 9,120$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 6,588$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.88 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Team Yandex | 7c | 4,894$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,299$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,852$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.37 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,060$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.17 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,762$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.15 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Yandex | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,394$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Yandex | 37c | 1,380$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Yandex | 26c | 1,113$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 963.05$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.21 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex | 33c | 800$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…fcd3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed Team Yandex | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 650.02$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 635$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 559.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 548.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 525.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex | 58c | 514.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Yandex | 26c | 506.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 497$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 496.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 449.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 448.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 339.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex | 17c | 334.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 323.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Yandex | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 250.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Team Yandex | 35c | 234.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 219.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Yandex | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Team Yandex | 47c | 208.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 202.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Team Yandex | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Team Yandex | 25c | 196.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 192.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c20…e02dbacked Team Yandex | 14c | 189.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 185.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Team Yandex | 54c | 184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Yandex | 60c | 174.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 170.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Yandex | 60c | 168.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Yandex | 61c | 156.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Team Yandex | 42c | 154.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 152.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 150.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 56c | 149.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 140.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Yandex | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Yandex | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 125.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Yandex | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 111.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Team Yandex | 54c | 104.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…87ccbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…49b1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 99.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…d546backed Team Yandex | 39c | 97.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 93.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 91.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 74.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 73.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Team Yandex | 48c | 72.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Team Yandex | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 62.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…6aa1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 61.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Yandex | 31c | 56.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex | 53c | 56.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Yandex | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…1d7abacked Team Yandex | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.