NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5231702817988260b4b31bf911d377e3a0f8d21dcc3e2a3dacedb6e470ac06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Maple Leafs, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Canadiens | 57c | 63,726$36,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,409.13 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 32,888$14,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,142.01 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 14,582$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 8,176$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 58c | 7,873$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.74 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 6,775$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.25 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 6,326$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.35 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 12c | 6,146$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 57c | 6,115$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.42 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 5,784$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens | 57c | 5,700$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,113$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.41 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 5,075$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…7e89backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 4,514$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,249$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.15 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3243…7b62backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 3,920$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 3,756$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.59 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,482$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.26 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,276$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.58 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,235$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,900$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,770$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.89 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,708$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.31 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,671$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Canadiens | 57c | 2,631$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.31 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,527$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.83 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,521$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,314$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.35 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,264$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.33 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Canadiens | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,858$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.88 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,824$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,807$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.12 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,791$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.04 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,709$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.78 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,538$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,380$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,366$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 69c | 1,261$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…a3d7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,085$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.3 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…bfa7backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,063$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,028$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 8c | 1,015$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…9bbdbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 57c | 999.99$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…24c0backed Canadiens | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…3ba3backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 990$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Canadiens | 56c | 949.93$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.97 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 929.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 921.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Canadiens | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Canadiens | 58c | 840$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 810$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…c4ebbacked Canadiens | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Canadiens | 57c | 790.79$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…6f60backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 788.89$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 780$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 761.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…c13dbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…25c5backed Canadiens | 58c | 720$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…818fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed Canadiens | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Canadiens | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 631.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 581.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.44 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 486.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 477.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 471.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 470.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 458$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…6ccdbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens | 52c | 445.89$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Canadiens | 55c | 445.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 441.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 441.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 438$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…f49dbacked Canadiens | 58c | 430.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 407$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.