Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Viking FK win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08466216ae1a0fadd5149bbb85dd5e5fd5c5fa5920cd3fc322cea45eca0369ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 25,000$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 40c | 23,320$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.87 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 5,162$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 63c | 1,999$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.62 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 64c | 1,570$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 1,532$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.79 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 1,135$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.39 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 955.18$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 28c | 505.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 46c | 430.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 48c | 418.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 51c | 293.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 57c | 263.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 54c | 231.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 11c | 195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 59c | 174$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 164.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 56c | 133.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 109.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 76.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 18c | 63.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 33c | 61.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 34c | 59.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 54.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 57c | 52.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 44c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…c2b5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 26c | 43.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked No | 41c | 42.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…7592backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viking FK win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.