Fifa International · resolved market
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9418fbfd00d643df93f4d628ef505cd127525f13a6cc291f5f3757337139140d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 58c | 29,616$17,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,177 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 5,074$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,593$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 36c | 3,190$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 2,006$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 40c | 799.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 60c | 799.76$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 44c | 570.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 54c | 555.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 480.87$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 431.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 393.57$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 35c | 325.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 33c | 299.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 46c | 217.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…363cbacked Yes | 40c | 213.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 195.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 41c | 182.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 169.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…a6f2backed Yes | 60c | 144.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 135.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 38c | 125.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 115.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 22c | 114.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 63c | 111.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…e1e2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 96.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…5c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 75c | 72.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 71.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 37c | 64.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…e995backed Yes | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked No | 68c | 47.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 56c | 45.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 44.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 41.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 61c | 40.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 70c | 29.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 78c | 26.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked Yes | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Latvia win on 2025-11-13?No won
- Will North Macedonia vs. Latvia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.