South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0132cc9aed352d8827f872ce0c63ed39b0f533404479edb8dbf30ea9d2f9874c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,718$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 4,673$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.92 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 35c | 1,632$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Over | 68c | 1,626$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 768.02$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 590.51$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 558.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 450.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 32c | 354.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 313.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 66c | 294$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Under | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 285.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 206.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 162.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 160.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 66c | 158.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 65c | 157.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 59c | 145.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 136.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 66c | 127.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 87.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 65c | 83.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 65c | 75.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 69c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 66c | 57.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 57.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 32c | 53.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 50.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 66c | 49.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 68c | 48.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 54c | 32.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 46c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 47c | 29.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Over | 56c | 23.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Under | 54c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 73c | 16.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 66c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)Club Nacional de Football won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.