Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e27998843edef157139cc55156d9cbe9d53c0042b5492e0c1acf5cb78308a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 14,238$9,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 28c | 10,800$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 49c | 4,210$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 68c | 1,770$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 39c | 1,471$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.64 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,226$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.31 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 1,054$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 869.21$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked Over | 42c | 742.05$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 626.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 49c | 525.31$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 446.79$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 287.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…0c7ebacked Under | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 77c | 208.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 37c | 108.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…ab9abacked Over | 46c | 90.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 88.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 42c | 41.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 52c | 38.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…b0b7backed Over | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 56c | 25.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.