Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9de4d4f7982e9b620fb9b4e69daa1abfd1259481913a8fb30b2e6dd8c384f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x109f…6b8cbacked Under | 76c | 11,195$8,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 7,348$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 3,983$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 1,975$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,259$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 1,250$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.49 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 4c | 933$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 38c | 399.87$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 17c | 331.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 47c | 105.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…f5dcbacked Over | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 30.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 19.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.