South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b2bbec5163235cb327aff48252b06a683f3f0a02374c3e3fac9173bee33481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 37c | 16,546$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.94 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 63c | 8,075$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.86 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 7,557$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.51 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 38c | 7,477$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,718$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 64c | 3,843$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.13 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 62c | 3,646$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.57 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 2,969$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.57 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,741$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.68 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,373$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.41 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 1,248$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 64c | 1,194$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.46 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 63c | 513.26$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 64c | 228.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 29c | 215.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 63c | 208$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 64c | 195.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 64c | 195.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 195.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 186$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 152.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 38c | 118.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Over | 36c | 114.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 53c | 109.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 52c | 90.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 46.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 63c | 46.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over | 31c | 43.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 43.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 74c | 39.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 63c | 27.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 40c | 25.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 65c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 62c | 21.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 64c | 21.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 73c | 21.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 80c | 20.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 76c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 77c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Cerro Porteño vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Cerro Porteño vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Club Cerro Porteño (-1.5)CDP Junior FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.