Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a69ad8bb2f5bac46e67c3ee8b29dead9445a2d490865b19f14aaaf7ca1f479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 1,289$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,101$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 871.93$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 792.82$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 622.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 359.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 45c | 346.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 46c | 313$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 24c | 254.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…9a7dbacked Under | 49c | 251.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…37d5backed Under | 49c | 250.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Under | 49c | 243.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…dd5fbacked Under | 49c | 240.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked Under | 49c | 235.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…51e3backed Under | 50c | 235.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…836fbacked Under | 50c | 235.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…21b8backed Under | 50c | 232.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…467dbacked Under | 50c | 232.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked Under | 50c | 230.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked Under | 49c | 229.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d448backed Under | 49c | 224.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d2…ba63backed Under | 49c | 223.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 219.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Under | 49c | 217.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed Under | 49c | 213.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 213$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 151.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 23c | 129.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 65c | 121.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 23c | 115.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 23c | 87.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 24c | 76.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 23c | 71.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 48.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 56c | 47.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 35.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 30.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.