South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061b03ebad4371dfb6459767005861302642327165ee983142cfe8ecb4406e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 495$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 303.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 284.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 19c | 213.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 205.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 197.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 194.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 79c | 186.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 60c | 127.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 52c | 104.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 33c | 102.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 55c | 88.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 85.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 79.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…c03abacked Over | 21c | 79.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 76.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 68c | 64.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 61.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 35c | 60.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 54.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 58c | 50.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Under | 45c | 47.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 74c | 14.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Club Blooming won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)Club Blooming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.