South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0ef4ae845b5639d8f6c230a47ebfd66bcc0c56977a8efc10622a0c27d5e49d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Bloomingof Red Bull Bragantino, Club Blooming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Red Bull Bragantino | 33c | 1,259$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Blooming | 73c | 705$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Blooming | 67c | 574$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Blooming | 67c | 533$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Bull Bragantino | 22c | 270.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Red Bull Bragantino | 25c | 180.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Blooming | 77c | 146.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Red Bull Bragantino | 26c | 134.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Club Blooming | 77c | 128.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Club Blooming | 79c | 99.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Red Bull Bragantino | 30c | 96.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Club Blooming | 66c | 86.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 26c | 75.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Blooming | 70c | 68.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Club Blooming | 78c | 49.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Club Blooming | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf45b…378bbacked Club Blooming | 71c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Club Blooming | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Club Blooming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.