TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c2,568$1,190 inWon+$1,377.835,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under51c2,336$1,185 inLost-$1,185.028337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over39c2,177$849 inWon+$1,327.7416349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,950$40 inLost-$40224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+240.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c1,858$1,062 inLost-$1,061.638,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c1,011$425 inWon+$586.0719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under28c769.98$216 inLost-$215.61850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c554.18$295 inLost-$294.511,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c429.54$245 inWon+$184.922,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over51c244.18$125 inWon+$119.6548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c234.39$126 inLost-$125.912,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over73c202.15$148 inWon+$54.589344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over72c152.37$110 inWon+$42.666668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under57c111.08$63 inLost-$62.8172350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under27c68.76$19 inLost-$18.5640451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over73c55.38$40 inWon+$14.9515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc1e8…2137backed Under65c45.18$29 inLost-$29.37955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon+$18.653345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Over49c31.01$15 inWon+$15.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c30.71$20 inWon+$11.171,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under51c29.12$15 inLost-$14.88155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under72c27.31$20 inLost-$19.668267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over48c23.33$11 inWon+$12.077162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…c36ebacked Under65c15.66$10 inLost-$10.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.