La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c76b0759554767477d52f173661cb6533deb1ff1d7fd5028cfd562da9ad967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 20,957$16,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 15c | 15,300$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 22c | 7,225$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.79 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 4,509$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.81 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 4,369$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.25 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,838$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 52c | 490$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 47c | 370$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 53c | 188.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 179.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 47c | 150.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 142.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 59c | 110.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Under | 76c | 71.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 33c | 45.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 25.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 71c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 72c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5this page
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Real Betis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.