La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffc966336fed40e8a73afe5c3096bfe3f575af5f9bbbb9a5b2defc39937526c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,415$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 552.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 56c | 277$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…de66backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 56c | 177.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 56c | 177.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 97.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 89.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 55c | 52.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…b7b5backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Yes | 55c | 34.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 49c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…60e1backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…641cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Real Betis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.