La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d9ef755c13d5900d265f0dca24f4d62626b7d4c72867465af2e66c407e6013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 27c | 9,428$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.76 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 5,013$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 3,548$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.51 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 15c | 1,298$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 72c | 498.91$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 73c | 444$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 75c | 352$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 17c | 293$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 26c | 66.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 75c | 34.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 74c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5this page
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Real Betis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.