La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf087038c2184ac98a1b69f02006982539a06c9789501cc0a438096cc06ba0f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 7,949$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 5,975$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.13 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 28c | 2,848$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.36 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 67c | 1,749$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.81 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 43c | 1,060$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.05 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 65c | 899.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 33c | 790.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.91 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 26c | 443.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Over | 34c | 260$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 74c | 148$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 76c | 132.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 26c | 116.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 114$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 50c | 94.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…6d1bbacked Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Real Betis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.