Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0ec31be566a60b3cb5689aa1c9bce37667de12e6ca4520c5500589cc039943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 79c | 3,987$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 21c | 2,562$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,548$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 22c | 511.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 77c | 444$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 19c | 330$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 312.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Under | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked Under | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…1bc0backed Under | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…437abacked Under | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…cdfbbacked Under | 79c | 49.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Under | 79c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Under | 77c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…c789backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…70a4backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Under | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 78c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 77c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…0bdfbacked Under | 78c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.