Fifa International · resolved market
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df51fab646413a44d0bfce25ab4c5cf053b8e342bb54242a609bf71d5575c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 2,344$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.19 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 30c | 1,662$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 47c | 924.07$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 600$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 316.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 71c | 307.47$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 20c | 271.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 66c | 270.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 33c | 217.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 39c | 215.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Under | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 60c | 167.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 126.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 80c | 125.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 37c | 106.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 66c | 91.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 83.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…2ee8backed Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Under | 20c | 71.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 65.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 63.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 57.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 56c | 53.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 38.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 60c | 32.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 40c | 32.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 42c | 30.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 49c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 70c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5this page
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Singapore (-2.5)Singapore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.