Fifa International · resolved market
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389552fa986b934e562aab1206dbb48f5f565589e5ec9f12165e844be7175f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 67c | 2,153$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.71 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 961.6$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.84 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 46c | 524.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 473.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 69c | 374.44$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 330.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 299.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 257.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 52c | 228.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 62c | 169.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 53c | 166.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 162.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 32c | 118.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 102.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 74.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 30c | 74.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 58c | 70.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…95c6backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 56c | 59.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b9eabacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 43.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…f3a7backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…ed50backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5this page
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Singapore (-2.5)Singapore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.