Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Singapore (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1090a6f4643984216109297abc02b86b507ae106c8933c6d938b7b214f0484bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Singaporeof Singapore, Mongolia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Singapore | 17c | 2,256$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mongolia | 56c | 1,968$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Mongolia | 59c | 649.55$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Mongolia | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Singapore | 44c | 299.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Singapore | 41c | 243$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Singapore | 37c | 147.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mongolia | 68c | 131$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Singapore | 39c | 105.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Singapore | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Singapore | 49c | 77.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Mongolia | 64c | 69.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Mongolia | 55c | 53.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Singapore | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…f3a7backed Singapore | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Mongolia | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Singapore | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Mongolia | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Mongolia | 55c | 39.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Singapore | 38c | 38.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Mongolia | 57c | 37.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Mongolia | 80c | 37.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Singapore | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed Mongolia | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…178abacked Mongolia | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Mongolia | 57c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Mongolia | 60c | 26.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed Mongolia | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked Mongolia | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Singapore (-2.5)this page
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)Singapore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.